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2023 Ecuadorian general election

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Presidential election
 
Candidate Daniel Noboa Luisa González
Party National Democratic Action (Ecuador) Citizen Revolution Movement
Running mate Verónica Abad Rojas Andrés Arauz
Popular vote 5,251,695 4,880,525
Percentage 51.83% 48.17%
President before election

Guillermo Lasso
CREO

Elected President

Daniel Noboa
National Democratic Action (Ecuador)

Snap general elections are scheduled to be held in Ecuador in August 2023.[1] Current president Guillermo Lasso was eligible for a second term, however he declined to run.[2]

The officials elected — to both the executive and legislative branches — will serve out the remainder of the current presidential and legislative terms (2021–2025). A regular election for a full four-year term will happen in early 2025.[3]

Originally scheduled for 2025, the general elections were moved forward earlier after President Lasso used the muerte cruzada measure which dissolved the National Assembly to avoid impeachment.[4]

Advancing to the 15 October run-off, Luisa González of the Citizen Revolution Movement came in first place, winning 33% of the vote with Daniel Noboa of the National Democratic Action coming in second place with 24% of the vote. Noboa's second-place finish was seen as surprising and an upset. Noboa ended up beating González with 52% of the votes in the runoff election, a similar result to that of Guillermo Lasso in 2021, making Noboa the President-elect of Ecuador.[5] At 35 years old, he is the youngest president in the country's history.[6][7]

Presidential candidates

[change | change source]

Declared

[change | change source]
Name Born Experience Announced Ref

Otto Sonnenholzner

March 19, 1983 (age 41)

Guayaquil, Guayas

Vice President of Ecuador (2018–2020) May 18, 2023 [8]

Yaku Pérez Guartambel

February 26, 1969 (age 55)

Cuenca, Azuay

Provincial Prefect of Azuay Province (2019–2020)
and 2021 presidential candidate 		May 25, 2023 [9]

Jan Topić

April 23, 1983 (age 41)

Guayaquil, Guayas

Businessman May 21, 2023 [10]

Daniel Noboa Azín

November 30, 1987 (age 37)

Guayaquil, Guayas

Member of the National Assembly (2021–2023) May 24, 2023 [11]

Bolívar Armijos Velasco

1980
(age 44)

San Lorenzo, Esmeraldas

President of CONAGOPARE (2014–2019) May 29, 2023 [12]

Xavier Hervas

October 7, 1972
(age 52)

Guayaquil, Guayas

President of NovaAlimentos S.A. June 8, 2023 [13]

Christian Zurita 		4 April 1970
(age 54)
Quito, Pichincha 		Investigative journalist 13 August 2023 [14]

Luisa González

November 22, 1977 (age 47)

Quito, Pichincha

Member of the National Assembly (2021–2023) June 10, 2023 [15][16][17][18]

Deceased

[change | change source]
Name Personal Experience Home province Vice President Campaign Ref

Fernando Villavicencio 		11 October 1963
–
9 August 2023
(aged 59) 		Member of the National Assembly
(2021–2023) 		Chimborazo Andrea González Náder Endorsed by:
MC25
Announced:
17 May 2023
Concluded:
9 August 2023 		[19][20]

Declined

[change | change source]

Polling

[change | change source]

Run-of

[change | change source]
Date Pollster Participants Margin
of error 		Daniel Noboa Luisa González Blank Null Undecided
14 October Omar Maluk [26][27] 16,486 3% 50.9% 49.1% ---
47.8% 46.1% 6.1% --
15 October [projection] CIT Peru[28] 1,200 2,8% 49,14% 50,86% ---
50,42% 49,52% ---
12 October 45% 44,02% 10,8% ---
10 October Dado Duro EC[29] 1,485 2,8% 38.6% 39.6% 12.4% 9.3%
9 October Negocios & Estratégias [30] 1,000 3.1% 49.94% 50.06% ---
6 October Six suspects in the assassination of Fernando Villavicencio are killed in Guayaquil Pennitenciary.[31]
5 October Omar Maluk[32] 11,235 3% 48.9% 51.1% ---
4 October NEO Consulta[33] 3,750 1.6% 48.9% 51.1% ---
4 October Negocios & Estratégias[34] 3,000 1.8% 44% 42.8% 5.3% 7.8%
1 October Official Second Round Presidential Debate is held in Quito.
15 September Omar Maluk[35] 8,000 2% 52.3% 47.7% – – –
10 September Comunicaliza[36] 5,381 1.3% 39.7% 34.0% 11.8% 14.4%
6 September Click Report[37] 3,040 3% 55.2% 44.8% – –
45.8% 37.2% 12.5% 4.5% –
5 September NEO Consulta[38] 2,100 2.1% 49.6% 50.4% – – –
42.0% 42.7% 8.6% 6.7% –
2 September Comunicaliza[39] 6,002 1.3% 54.9% 45.1% – 12.9%
43.1% 35.4% 8.6%

First round

[change | change source]
Date Pollster Participants Margin of error Noboa González Sonnenholzner Pérez Villavicencio Zurita Hervas Topić Armijos Blank Null Undecided
2023 general election 20 August 2023 — — 23.47% 33.61% 7.06% 3.97% — 16.37% 0.49% 14.67% 0.36% 2.04 6.77 —
11–12 August Comunicaliza[40] 3,641 1.62% 3.3% 24.9% 8.2% 5.8% — 14.5% 1.6% 21.7% 0.3% 9.5% 10.2%
9 August Fernando Villavicencio is assassinated at a campaign rally in Quito and, subsequently, replaced by Zurita.
9 August Cedatos[41] 1,803 3.1% 3.7% 35.4% 7.5% 11.9% 18.4% – 4.1% 18% 0.9% – – –
2.5% 24% 5.1% 8.1% 12.5% – 2.8% 12.2% 0.6% 11.9% 2.8% 17.5%
6 August Click Report[42] 3,040 3% 6.8% 29.3% 9.2% 14.4% 7.5% – 6.8% 9.6% 6.8% 16.9% 3.2% –
5 August Telcodata[43] 6,600 1.2% 2.0% 30.5% 6.5% 7.7% 6.8% – 1.6% 13.1% 0.2% 7.6% 23.8%
2 August IPSOS[43] 2,490 1.96% 4% 29% 16% 10% 12% – 5% 9% 1% 11% 5%
2 August Telcodata[44] 6,631 1.2% 2.1% 29.8% 7.7% 8.8% 7.4% – 2.2% 10.1% 0.3% 7.5% 23.9%
27 July Tracking[45] 1,250 5% 3.2% 23.2% 19.4% 10.1% 9.2% – 4.5% 3.8% 0.7% 14.1% 2.6% 9.2%
26 July Comunicaliza[46] 3,539 1.7% 4.2% 28.6% 12.6% 8.1% 9.2% – 4.4% 4.4% 0.5% 13.6% 14.5%
23 July Agustín Intriago, Mayor of Manta, is assassinted.
20 July Estrategas Infinity[47] 1,549 2.5% 3.1% 30.9% 11.9% 10.0% 7.8% – 5.0% 5.2% 0.3% 11.9% 3.0% 11.0%
18 July Cedatos[48] 1,300 3.1% 4.4% 26.6% 7.5% 12.5% 13.2% – 6.0% 3.2% 0.5% 2.6% 16.1% 7.6%
9 July Numma[49] 1,604 2.7% 6.4% 33.8% 17.5% 15.1% 10.2% – 6.9% 8.5% 1.6% – – –
3–9 July Tracking[50] 1,250 5% 4.6% 24.2% 15.2% 11.5% 8.0% – 5.4% 4.5% 0.6% 10.3% 15.3%
20 June–8 July Omar Maluk[51] 7,106 3% 4.4% 40.1% 14.7% 13.6% 9.1% – 10.3% 7.1% 0.6% – – –
3.7% 33.8% 12.4% 11.5% 7.7% – 8.7% 6.0% 0.5% 5.9% 9.8%
5–6 July Comunicaliza[52] 3,314 1.7% 4.5% 26.8% 12.8% 10.3% 9.3% – 6.5% 3.0% 0.1% 12.1% 14.1%
26 June–3 July Metria[53] 1,200 2.8% 3.1% 37.8% 18.2% 11.0% 7.5% – 1.7% 6.5% ›1% 10.1% – 4.0%
22–26 June Negocios & Estrategias[54][55] 3,524 1.7% 4% 52% 14% 13% 4% – 9% 5% 0% – – –
3% 41% 11% 10% 7% – 3% 4% 0% 21% –
1% 30% 8% 8% 5% – 2% 2% 0% 6% 38%
23–26 June Mercanalis[56] 4,000 3% 7% 38% 9% 12% 10% – 8% 14% 2% – – –
5% 27% 6% 9% 7% – 5% 10% 1% 12% 18% –
20–24 June Data Encuesta[57][58] 4,200 3.4% 5.2% 28.1% 9.6% 16.6% 9.3% – 7.3% 14.8% – – – 9.1%
19–20 June Estrategas Infinity[59] 3,645 1.62% 4.3% 28.0% 9.9% 8.8% 8.3% – 6.1% 2.5% 0.5% 3.9% 15.9% 11.8%
16–18 June Comunicaliza[60] 3,656 1.62% 3.8% 25.9% 11.2% 10.3% 8.0% – 6.2% 2.6% 0.4% 13.2% 18.4%
5–9 June Data Encuesta[61] 4,800 3.4% 4.2% 27.8% 7.6% 14.8% 7.1% – 6.2% 14.2% – – – 17.9%

Results

[change | change source]
CandidateRunning matePartyFirst roundSecond round
Votes%Votes%
Luisa GonzálezAndrés ArauzCitizen Revolution Movement3,315,66333.614,700,97247.90
Daniel NoboaVerónica Abad RojasNational Democratic Action2,315,29623.475,112,68352.10
Christian ZuritaAndrea González NáderMovimiento Construye1,614,43416.37
Jan TopićDiana Jácome SilvaPor Un País Sin Miedo1,446,81214.67
Otto SonnenholznerErika Paredes SánchezActuemos696,5487.06
Yaku PérezNory Pinela MoránClaro Que Se Puede391,6743.97
Xavier HervasLuz Marina Vega ConejoRETO Movement48,4280.49
Bolívar ArmijosLinda Romero EspinozaAMIGO Movement35,7850.36
Total9,864,640100.009,813,655100.00
Valid votes9,864,64091.17
Invalid/blank votes954,8358.83
Total votes10,819,475100.00
Registered voters/turnout13,045,55382.94
Source: CNE

References

[change | change source]
  1. ↑ "Lasso quisiera gobernar nuevamente en 2025". Radio La Calle (in Spanish). 2022-02-22. Retrieved 2022-03-19.
  2. ↑ "Guillermo Lasso no descarta buscar la reelección en el 2025 - Radio Pichincha". Pichincha Comunicaciones EP (in Spanish). 2022-02-22. Archived from the original on 2022-02-23. Retrieved 2022-03-19.
  3. ↑ "Ecuador deberá vivir un proceso eleccionario en pocos meses. ¿Guillermo Lasso se puede presentar a elecciones?". El Universo. 17 May 2023. Retrieved 18 May 2023.
  4. ↑ Valencia, Alexandra (2023-05-17). "Ecuador president dissolves legislature, bringing elections forward". Reuters. Retrieved 2023-05-17.
  5. ↑ "Daniel Noboa, presidente electo de Ecuador con el 87% de actas escrutadas". Metro Ecuador. 15 October 2023. Archived from the original on 16 October 2023. Retrieved 15 October 2023.
  6. ↑ "Daniel Noboa elected Ecuador's youngest president". BBC. 15 October 2023. Archived from the original on 16 October 2023. Retrieved 15 October 2023.
  7. ↑ "Noboa wins Ecuador presidential race, pledges to rebuild country". Reuters. 15 October 2023. Archived from the original on 16 October 2023. Retrieved 15 October 2023.
  8. ↑ "Más actores políticos anuncian su intención de candidatizarse para presidente de Ecuador". Vistazo. Retrieved 18 May 2023.
  9. ↑ "YAKU PÉREZ Y GUSTAVO LARREA CONSOLIDAN UN ACUERDO POLÍTICO ENTRE SOMOS AGUA Y DEMOCRACIA SÍ". PlanV. Retrieved 18 May 2023.
  10. ↑ 10.0 10.1 "El PSC decide no presentar candidato presidencial y respalda a Jan Topic". www.expreso.ec. Retrieved 2023-05-21.
  11. ↑ "Daniel Noboa anuncia su candidatura a la presidencia: "Soy un hombre de proyectos que no se rinde"". Vistazo. Retrieved 27 May 2023.
  12. ↑ "Binomio Armijos-Romero acepta precandidatura a la Presidencia de la República para los comicios de agosto próximo" (in Spanish). El Universo. June 8, 2023. Retrieved June 20, 2023.
  13. ↑ "Binomio presidencial Xavier Hervas-Luz Marina Vega queda en firme; CNE negó objeción de la Revolución Ciudadana" (in Spanish). La Hora. June 19, 2023. Retrieved June 20, 2023.
  14. ↑ "Ecuadorian Journalist to Take Assassinated Candidate's Place on Presidential Ticket". Time. 2023-08-14. Archived from the original on 14 August 2023. Retrieved 2023-08-14.
  15. ↑ Redacción (2023-05-23). "Elecciones Ecuador 2023: entre Andrés Arauz, Carlos Rabascal y Luisa González está el candidato del correísmo a la Presidencia". www.ecuavisa.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 2023-05-28.
  16. ↑ Tapia, Ximena (2023-06-10). "Luisa González y Andrés Arauz son el binomio presidencial del correísmo". El Comercio (in Spanish). Retrieved 2023-06-10.
  17. ↑ "Revolución Ciudadana define a Luisa González y Andrés Arauz como su binomio tras la declinación de Jorge Glas". El Universo (in Spanish). 2023-06-10. Retrieved 2023-06-10.
  18. ↑ "¿Quién es Luisa González, la carta a la Presidencia por la Revolución Ciudadana?". www.expreso.ec. Retrieved 2023-06-10.
  19. ↑ "Fernando Villavicencio, el primer político que habla de una candidatura presidencial tras la muerte cruzada" (in Spanish). El Universo. 17 May 2023. Retrieved 18 May 2023.
  20. ↑ "Asesina al candidato a la presidencia de Ecuador Fernando Villavicencio" (in Spanish). El Tiempo. 9 August 2023. Archived from the original on 10 August 2023. Retrieved 10 August 2023.
  21. ↑ "Presidente Guillermo Lasso reveló que no será candidato en estas elecciones". El Telégrafo. 19 May 2023. Retrieved 19 May 2023.
  22. ↑ "After dissolving legislature, Ecuador's president says he's leaving, too". The Washington Post. 19 May 2023. Retrieved 19 May 2023.
  23. ↑ "«Soy un soldado de este proyecto; yo estaré en donde la historia me asigne»: Andrés Arauz". La Hora (in Spanish). Retrieved 19 May 2023.
  24. ↑ "Andrés Arauz: Mi interés no es la candidatura, es la Presidencia del Ecuador". El Universo (in Spanish). 2023-05-23. Retrieved 2023-05-23.
  25. ↑ "Jorge Glas declina ser candidato presidencial del correísmo – DW – 10/06/2023". dw.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 2023-06-10.
  26. ↑ "MALUK RESEARCH" (in Spanish). Retrieved 2023-10-16.
  27. ↑ "Log in or sign up to view". m.facebook.com. Retrieved 2023-10-16.
  28. ↑ Noticia, La (2023-10-14). "CIT PERÚ: candidatos de elecciones en Ecuador obtienen empate técnico tras simulacro de votación". La Noticia (in Spanish). Retrieved 2023-10-15.
  29. ↑ "Existe un empate técnico". X (formerly Twitter). Retrieved 2023-10-13.
  30. ↑ "Log in or sign up to view". m.facebook.com. Retrieved 2023-10-13.
  31. ↑ "Followers who are interested in the closing of my poll". X (formerly Twitter). Retrieved 2023-10-16.
  32. ↑ "Última encuesta de @omarmaluk cerrada anoche". X (formerly Twitter). Retrieved 2023-10-13.
  33. ↑ "Log in or sign up to view". m.facebook.com. Retrieved 2023-10-13.
  34. ↑ "#EleccionesEcuador2023 Ficha técnica y gráfico principal". X (formerly Twitter). Retrieved 2023-10-13.
  35. ↑ Ecuador en Directo TV / Facebook / Lisa Sigue Subiendo / 14 September 2023
  36. ↑ "Comunicaliza Poll" (in Spanish). Comunicaliza. Retrieved 13 September 2023.
  37. ↑ "Click Report Poll" (in Spanish). Twitter. Retrieved 8 September 2023.
  38. ↑ "NEO Consulta Poll" (in Spanish). NEO. Retrieved 7 September 2023.
  39. ↑ "Comunicaliza Poll" (in Spanish). Couminicaliza. 2 September 2023. Retrieved 7 September 2023.
  40. ↑ "Encuestas" (PDF) (in Spanish). ASCOA. Archived (PDF) from the original on 16 August 2023. Retrieved 16 August 2023.
  41. ↑ "ESTUDIO OPINIÓN – ELECCIONES PRESIDENCIALES – cerrado a Agosto 9, 2023" (in Spanish). Cedatos. 11 August 2023. Archived from the original on 13 August 2023. Retrieved 14 August 2023.
  42. ↑ "Según encuestas, la única certeza es que el correísmo encabeza lid presidencial" (in Spanish). Primicias. Archived from the original on 11 August 2023. Retrieved 11 August 2023.
  43. ↑ 43.0 43.1 "Lo que DEBES saber sobre las ELECCIONES y la JUSTICIA". IPSOS. Archived from the original on 7 August 2023. Retrieved 8 August 2023.
  44. ↑ "Telcodata Poll". Louis Alexandre. Archived from the original on 3 August 2023. Retrieved 3 August 2023.
  45. ↑ "¿Habrá SEGUNDA vuelta? Esto dicen las ENCUESTAS". Cafe la Posta. Archived from the original on 28 July 2023. Retrieved 28 July 2023.
  46. ↑ "Comunicaliza Presidential poll". Twitter. Archived from the original on 27 July 2023. Retrieved 27 July 2023.
  47. ↑ "Nueva encuesta ubica a Luisa González como favorita para ganar las elecciones". Radio Pichincha. 27 July 2023. Archived from the original on 28 July 2023. Retrieved 28 July 2023.
  48. ↑ "Villavicencio iría a segunda vuelta con Luisa, si las elecciones fueran hoy, según Cedatos" (in Spanish). La Republica. 21 July 2023. Archived from the original on 25 July 2023. Retrieved 26 July 2023.
  49. ↑ "Candidata Luisa González lidera intención de voto, según encuesta Numma" (in Spanish). Radio Pichincha. 21 July 2023. Archived from the original on 23 July 2023. Retrieved 24 July 2023.
  50. ↑ "Tracking Poll". Facebook. Archived from the original on 17 July 2023. Retrieved 17 July 2023.
  51. ↑ "Omar Maluk Poll". Twitter. Archived from the original on 11 July 2023. Retrieved 8 July 2023.
  52. ↑ "Comunicaliza poll". La Defensa Ecuador. Retrieved 6 July 2023.
  53. ↑ "Metria poll". Metria. Archived from the original on 11 July 2023. Retrieved 3 July 2023.
  54. ↑ "Negocios & Estrategias poll". Negocios & Estrategias. Archived from the original on 3 July 2023. Retrieved 26 June 2023.
  55. ↑ "Ecuador, presidential election, Negocio & Estrategias poll". Negocio & Estrategias. Archived from the original on 13 July 2023. Retrieved 26 June 2023.
  56. ↑ "Mercanalis poll". Mercanalis. Archived from the original on 7 July 2023. Retrieved 26 June 2023.
  57. ↑ "Data Encuesta poll". Data Encuesta. Archived from the original on 3 July 2023. Retrieved 24 June 2023.
  58. ↑ "Data Encuesta poll". Tinoelectoral. Retrieved 24 June 2023.
  59. ↑ "Estrategas Infinity presidential poll". Estrategas Infinity. Archived from the original on 26 June 2023. Retrieved June 27, 2023.
  60. ↑ "Alfaromontero". Amarchante. Archived from the original on 10 August 2023. Retrieved 23 June 2023.
  61. ↑ "Data Encuesta Poll". Diari Opinion. Archived from the original on 23 June 2023. Retrieved 23 June 2023.


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